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Woke up this morning unsurprised
The polls always showed that Trump had a good chance of winning and Trump always performs over his polling.
I think the really damning thing is the polling on the issues. Among people who said the economy was their most important priority (31% of respondents), 79% voted Republican. Among people who said that Immigration was their most important priority (11% of respondents), 89% voted Republican. There are similar breakdowns the other way around for abortion rights and "the state of democracy" (76% Democratic and 81% Democratic respectively), but obviously not enough to overcome the people who voted Republican. Though I should say, the results are bad enough that any attempt to point to a single cause (or any causes that are tightly connected) is probably a bad idea.
Just to pick one, those Republican state of democracy voters would absolutely not agree on what the threat to democracy is with the Democratic ones.
I've also seen a lot of people saying that the conspiracy is that Trump will be sworn in, almost immediately hit with the 25th amendment, and then President Vance will transform America into a theocracy and that's baffling to me. No president has ever been forced out under the 25th, so the process would be a nightmare, and there's no way in the world Trump resigns quietly no matter what they offer him. An attempt to do that would lead all of Trump's devotees to claim that the "swamp" was trying to throw him out. I'm not saying that some people aren't planning it, or that they won't try it, but it wouldn't be quick or easy.
We'll see if term two is mostly standard bad Republican governance like term one was, or something worse.
I think the really damning thing is the polling on the issues. Among people who said the economy was their most important priority (31% of respondents), 79% voted Republican. Among people who said that Immigration was their most important priority (11% of respondents), 89% voted Republican. There are similar breakdowns the other way around for abortion rights and "the state of democracy" (76% Democratic and 81% Democratic respectively), but obviously not enough to overcome the people who voted Republican. Though I should say, the results are bad enough that any attempt to point to a single cause (or any causes that are tightly connected) is probably a bad idea.
Just to pick one, those Republican state of democracy voters would absolutely not agree on what the threat to democracy is with the Democratic ones.
I've also seen a lot of people saying that the conspiracy is that Trump will be sworn in, almost immediately hit with the 25th amendment, and then President Vance will transform America into a theocracy and that's baffling to me. No president has ever been forced out under the 25th, so the process would be a nightmare, and there's no way in the world Trump resigns quietly no matter what they offer him. An attempt to do that would lead all of Trump's devotees to claim that the "swamp" was trying to throw him out. I'm not saying that some people aren't planning it, or that they won't try it, but it wouldn't be quick or easy.
We'll see if term two is mostly standard bad Republican governance like term one was, or something worse.
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I don't think Vance would force Trump out, but I DO think there is a chance, however slim, that we'll have a President Vance. Trump isn't in the best of health, and unless the people around him are really, really, really good at pulling a Woodrow Wilson, I can't see Trump serving a full term.
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Come to Australia. Please and thank you.
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(We should come visit, though, your place looks so lovely)